60 -I 137.0 29 ERROR BARS - tONE (1" \ \ \ 4\0 \ \ E \ a. a. \
Z30 \ 137.0388 \ 0 137.0377 \ \ 20 \ \ 0 to 0 '50 Fig.1.
Successive recommended values of the fine-structure constand IX-I (B. N.
Taylor et 01., 1969,7) reminder that the value is not fully accepted by
colleagues, since they will expect it to jump about for a while longer.
Our next example is taken from a recent study in the social sciences. It
shows how a set of related estimates of uncertainty can be expressed
clearly and effectively by NUSAP. Suppose that we wish to forecast what
the future price of a basic commodity might be, especially when at the
moment its price is artificially maintained by a cartel of producers.
There is no experimental evidence on such a future contingency, and yet
we are not completely in the dark. There is a long history of expertise
in the field; and there is a well-tried standard model by which experts'
guesses can be translated into mathematical form.