Figure 1. 1. Map of Great Britain at two different scale levels. (a)
Counties, (b)Regions. '-. " Figure 1. 2. Two alternative aggregations of
the Italian provincie in 32 larger areas 4 CHAPTER 1 d ., b) Figure 1. 3
Percentage of votes of the Communist Party in the 1987 Italian political
elections (a) and percentage of population over 75 years (b) in 1981
Italian Census in 32 polling districts. The polling districts with
values above the average are shaded. Figure 1. 4: First order neighbours
(a) and second order neighbours (b) of a reference area. INTRODUCTION 5
While there are several other problems relating to the analysis of areal
data, the problem of estimating a spatial correlO!J'am merits special
attention. The concept of the correlogram has been borrowed in the
spatial literature from the time series analysis. Figure l. 4. a shows
the first-order neighbours of a reference area, while Figure 1. 4. b
displays the second-order neighbours of the same area. Higher-order
neighbours can be defined in a similar fashion. While it is clear that
the dependence is strongest between immediate neighbouring areas a
certain degree of dependence may be present among higher-order
neighbours. This has been shown to be an alternative way of look ing at
the sca le problem (Cliff and Ord, 1981, p. l 23). However, unlike the
case of a time series where each observation depends only on past
observations, here dependence extends in all directions.