Summarises the currently available seismic and engineering data
pertaining to the seismic hazard of the capitals of the Central Asian
republics. The conclusion is that the risk to residents of these cities
is extremely high. There is a roughly 40% probability that an earthquake
will occur near one of the Central Asian republic's capitals within the
next 20 years. Such an event will produce ground shaking in the affected
city equal to the maximum ground shaking experienced in Armenia and
Sakhalin, i.e. MSK IX. The event will cause tens of thousands of
fatalities and at least 100,000 serious injuries.
Audience: All people interested in the development of the post-Soviet
Central Asian Republics. Earthquake engineers in particular will
appreciate the summary of the latest seismic hazard and building
vulnerability data of the region; the best compilation of these data
available in the English language