CALVIN L. BEALE In considering how to introduce the subject of rural
population change in st the 21 Century, I ?nd myself re?ecting on my own
experience as a demographer for the U. S. Department of Agriculture.
When I arrived at the Department, the post-World War II modernization of
farming was well under way. Each year, my colleague Gladys Bowles and I
had the unpopular task of announcing how much the farm population had
decreased in the prior year. It was hard to say that the phenomenon was
someone's fault. Dramatic reductions in labor requirements per unit of
agricultural output were occurring everywhere and not just in the United
States. But politically, blame had to be assigned, and whichever
political party was not in the White House was certain to place the
blame squarely on the current administration. The demographic
consequences of this trend were major. In a 22-year period from 1941 to
1962, the net loss of farm population from migration and cessation of
farming averaged over a million people per year. It took eight years
after the war before an administration was willing to begin to talk
about the need to diversify rural employment. By that time, farm
residents had already become a minority of rural people. However, well
into the 1970s, I continued to receive inquiries from people who still
equated rural with farm or who could not envision what rural-nonfarm
people did for a living.