North Korea poses a key challenge to the global community of states.
Sometimes viewed as primarily a nuclear or proliferation challenge,
Pyongyang actually presents the United States and other countries with
multiple problems. As the 2005 National Defense Strategy of the United
States notes, these challenges include "traditional, irregular, and
catastrophic." While each dimension of these threat capabilities are
fairly clear and, with the exception of the third, readily documented,
North Korea's intentions are a much more controversial subject upon
which specialists reach widely disparate conclusions. In this monograph,
Dr. Andrew Scobell examines the topic of Pyongyang's strategic
intentions. He first identifies a broad spectrum of expert views and
distills this wisdom into three "packages" of possible strategic
intentions. He then sets out to test which package appears to reflect
actual North Korean policy.