Using new tabulations from the Survey of Income and Program
Participation and newly released data from the Current Population
Survey, this report reexamines the likely effect on insurance premiums
in the individual health insurance market of the Health Insurance Act of
1995 (commonly known as "Kassebaum-Kennedy"). A widely cited study by
the Health Insurance Association of America (HIAA) estimates that the
proposed legislation would increase premiums for those currently buying
individual health insurance by over twenty percent. This study estimates
a range of effects from 5.5 percent to under one percent. The upper end
of the range maintains the HIAA assumptions, but substitutes new
tabulations of the figures used in the computation of the estimate. The
lower end of the range considers the interaction of the proposed federal
legislation and current state insurance regulations.