A guide to the practical art of plausible reasoning, this book has
relevance in every field of intellectual activity. Professor Polya, a
world-famous mathematician from Stanford University, uses mathematics to
show how hunches and guesses play an important part in even the most
rigorously deductive science. He explains how solutions to problems can
be guessed at; good guessing is often more important than rigorous
deduction in finding correct solutions. Vol. II, on Patterns of
Plausible Inference, attempts to develop a logic of plausibility. What
makes some evidence stronger and some weaker? How does one seek evidence
that will make a suspected truth more probable? These questions involve
philosophy and psychology as well as mathematics.