Climate change is believed to affect the hydrological cycle and thus it
would have significant implications on the regional scale agricultural
water availability. In this study an Agricultural Water Availability
Index was developed for Rechna doab, Pakistan. This index was used to
evaluate the present and future agricultural water availability.
Moreover this study also demonstrates the use of remote sensing to
determine the soil moisture content on a regional or basin scale. Water
availability for the future scenarios was assessed by statistical
downscaling technique to downscale Tmax, Tmin and precipitation using
the HadCM3 GCM outputs for the study area. The study results demonstrate
that the variation in water availability will increase both spatially
and temporally and there will be critical water shortage during the
wheat sowing period. Therefore suitable climate change adaptation
options were forwarded to cope with the shortages. This study can be
used for making better surface water allocation in the future on the
basis of knowing water availability on a spatial scale.