The uncontrolled utilization of natural resources to supply to the water
demands of the ever-growing population has brought about worldwide
scarcity. The supply shortage has resulted in conflicts between
countries, created prolonged drought, closing of industrial units,
shifting of local inhabitants etc. The abnormality in climatic patterns
due to global warming has only enhanced the uncertainties. Unregulated
discharge of waste water into fresh water resources is also polluting
the available water resources and making them non-utilizable. That is
why the discrepancy between water supply and demand is slowly but
steadily becoming a problem, which may lead to conflict and inequality
all over the world. The present investigation is an attempt to find the
impact of urbanization in the face of climatic uncertainties on water
shortage or scarcity. How is climate responsible? What urbanization
factors have an influence on the extent of shortages? What is the role
of the socio-economic status of the inhabitants? Industrialization?
Consumption pattern? Each of the causes and effects were analyzed with
the help of data from a climate model, which was then fed into a
hydrologic model. The hydrologic output data was then put into various
other novel simulation platforms to predict the uncertainties that can
be caused by urbanization in various sectors of the regions of interest.
The impact was calculated based on IPCC recommended climatic and five
distinct urbanization scenarios. The study results will help to predict
what is in store of those living in the developing countries. Possible
mitigation measures are also discussed.
