Earthquakes are the expression of the continuing evolution of the Earth
planet and of the deformation of its crust and occur worldwide; while
the largest events (M>7. 5) concentrate on plate boundary areas and
active plate interiors, moderate earthquakes may take place, if rarely,
in all continental areas and may turn catastrophic in areas with poor
building construction practice, as tragically shown by the sequence of
earthquakes striking the Caucasus region in recent years (Spitak,
Armenia, 1988; Rutbar, W. Iran, 1990; Ratcha, Georgia, 1991; Erzincan,
E. Turkey, 1992). Vulnerability to disaster is increasing as
urbanisation and development occupy more areas that are prone to the
effects of significant earthquakes. In order to minimize the loss of
life, property damage and social and economic disruption caused by
earthquakes, it is essential that reliable estimates of seismic hazard
be available to national decision makers and engineers for land use
planning and improved building design and construction. While short- and
mid-term earthquake prediction may one day be able to reduce
significantly the death toll of earthquakes, the environmental effects
(collapse of buildings and infrastructures, disruption of the productive
chain, human resettlement) can be reduced only through a long-term
prevention policy in earthquake-prone areas based on the assessment of
seismic hazard and risk, the implementation of safe building
construction codes, the increased public awareness on natural disasters,
a strategy of land-use planning taking into account the seismic hazard
and the occurrence of other natural disasters.