Are foreign exchange markets efficient? Are fundamentals important for
predicting exchange rate movements? What is the signal-to-ratio of high
frequency exchange rate changes? Is it possible to define a measure of
the equilibrium exchange rate that is useful from an assessment
perspective?
The book is a selective survey of current thinking on key topics in
exchange rate economics, supplemented throughout by new empirical
evidence. The focus is on the use of advanced econometric tools to find
answers to these and other questions which are important to
practitioners, policy-makers and academic economists. In addition, the
book addresses more technical econometric considerations such as the
importance of the choice between single-equation and system-wide
approaches to modelling the exchange rate, and the reduced form versus
structural equation problems.
Readers will gain both a comprehensive overview of the way
macroeconomists approach exchange rate modelling, and an understanding
of how advanced techniques can help them explain and predict the
behavior of this crucial economic variable.