These notes originated as part of a lecture series on Stochastics in
Biological Systems at the Mathematical Biosciences Institute in Ohio,
USA. In this contribution the author uses multitype branching processes
with mutation to model cancer. With cancer progression, resistance to
therapy, the time of the first type $k$ mutation, and $\sigma_k$, the
time of the first type $k$ mutation that founds a family line that does
not die out, as well as the growth of the number of type $k$ cells. The
last three sections apply these results to metastasis, ovarian cancer,
and tumor heterogeneity. Even though martingales and stable laws are
mentioned, these notes with examples and applications should be
accessible to students and researchers who are familiar with Poisson
processes and continuous time Markov chains.
Richard Durrett is Professor of Mathematics at Duke University, USA. He
is the author of 8 books, over 200 journal articles, and has supervised
more than 40 Ph.D. students. Most of his current research concerns the
applications of probability to biology, ecology, genetics, and most
recently cancer.