This book opens new approach to the study of global environmental
changes having unfourable character for peoples and other living
systems. Main advantage of this book consists in the accumulation of
knowledge from different sciences to parameterize global biogeochemical
cycles in the context of globalization and sustainable development.
Basic global problems of the nature-society system dynamics have been
considered and the key problems of ensuring its sustainable development
have been discussed. An analysis has been made of the present trend in
changing ecological systems and characteristics of the present global
ecodynamics have been estimated. The emphasis has been placed on the
accomplishment of global geoinformation monitoring, which could provide
a reliable control of the environmental processes development with
further obtaining prognostic estimates of consequences of realization of
anthropogenic projects. A new approach to the nature-society system
numerical modelling has been proposed and demonstrative results have
been given of modelling the dynamics of this system's characteristics in
cases of realization of some scenarios of anthropogenic impact on the
biogeochemical cycles. The importance and the need has been emphasized
of development of adaptive algorithms of monitoring data processing
which make it possible to reduce the economic expenses on its
accomplishment and raise the reliability of the obtained estimates of
the global ecodynamics characteristics. Perspective approaches have been
suggested for the development of technology to estimate the risk of
realization of decisions on ecosystems' management. The realization of
this approach allows integration within a complex structure of all
international and national means of environmental monitoring and
provides a tool for objective evaluation of the environmental quality.
The main purpose of this book is to develop an universal information
technology to estimate the state of environmental subsystems functioning
under various climatic and anthropogenic conditions and to assess the
dependence of global bviogeochemical cycles on the globalization
processes. Applied mathematicians, geophysicists, hydrologists,
socio-economists, statesmans and other researchers of global change will
find a wealth of information and ideas in this book.
