This book begins with the fundamental large sample theory, estimating
ruin probability, and ends by dealing with the latest issues of
estimating the Gerber-Shiu function. This book is the first to introduce
the recent development of statistical methodologies in risk theory (ruin
theory) as well as their mathematical validities. Asymptotic theory of
parametric and nonparametric inference for the ruin-related quantities
is discussed under the setting of not only classical compound Poisson
risk processes (Cramér-Lundberg model) but also more general Lévy
insurance risk processes.
The recent development of risk theory can deal with many kinds of
ruin-related quantities: the probability of ruin as well as
Gerber-Shiu's discounted penalty function, both of which are useful in
insurance risk management and in financial credit risk analysis. In
those areas, the common stochastic models are used in the context of the
structural approach of companies' default. So far, the probabilistic
point of view has been the main concern for academic researchers.
However, this book emphasizes the statistical point of view because
identifying the risk model is always necessary and is crucial in the
final step of practical risk management.